Back in September, before his government’s first budget, the prime minister, Keir Starmer, addressed the Trades Union Congress. “So much of our crumbling public realm – universities, councils, the care system – [are] all even worse than we expected,” he told the assembled delegates.
A Guardian analysis of the government estate in England – looking across the public sector at schools, hospitals, courts and prisons – suggests Starmer was correct to use the word “crumbling”. Other descriptors he could also have used are dilapidated, close to failure and, in some cases, posing a risk to life and safety.
Long-term investment in the public realm was one of the main points of October’s budget, with Rachel Reeves changing the debt rules in order to free up billions for infrastructure spending. But just how bad has the problem got?
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How the Guardian analysed the condition of public buildings
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The Guardian analysis classified schools into four categories. Those that had been nominated for the school rebuilding programme were considered to be in the highest need of rebuilding. That was followed by those with a school condition allocation band of M-Y, those with band G-L, and finally those below band G were considered to be in above average condition. These groupings were based on work done by the National Audit Office in 2023, as well as Department for Education guidance detailing that G was the average band.
Court data was obtained via Freedom of Information release from the Ministry of Justice. The ‘condition’ rating assigned to each court was an internal government methodology utilising desktop analysis to apply broad condition categorisation, based on the condition of all mechanical & electrical equipment at each court. This data was produced by facilities management providers from a survey of the estate’s assets carried out in 2020. The result was then adjusted using more recent data, including the DEC or EPC rating of a building or any facilities management related occurrences.
Prisons were graded based on the contents of their most recent Independent Monitoring Board Report. “Serious issues” meant the inspectors reported “inhumane” conditions, units which were unfit for habitation or dilapidated, rat or mouse infestations, mould, flooding or legionella. Prisons were deemed to have “some issues” if they reported more minor issues such as boiler failures, damp or mould, or leaks. Otherwise they were given a default grade of “satisfactory”.
Health data was taken from NHS England Estates Returns Information Collection, and other departmental condition data was obtained via a Freedom of Information release to the Cabinet Office.
Additional reporting by Pamela Duncan and Raphael Hernandes